Results

By the numbers:

952Mbytes of disk space
111 Movies made
88 Movies studied
63 Moving Blue Shift Events logged
22 CD-Rs burned
6.5 Days of Data analyzed
3 Papers read
2 Active Regions sampled
1 Partidge
1 Pear Tree

Days BeforeDateGross TimeDown TimeNet Time# BSEsRate
1Nov 142h 53m0h 24m2h 29m10.40
3Nov 124h 54m2h 08m2h 46m41.45
4Nov 119h 28m1h 05m8h 23m80.95
5Nov 104h 42m2h 15m2h 27m10.41

1Jan 069h 57m0h 46m9h 11m283.05
2Jan 059h 20m0h 28m8h 52m161.80
3Jan 04*1h 02m0h 00m1h 02m54.84
(*)=incomplete
Average rate for Nov 15 flare region: 0.81 BSEs/hr
Average rate for Jan 07 flare region: 3.23 BSEs/hr

Average rate (all 7 days): 1.84 BSEs/hr
Standard Error: 1.61 BSEs/hr

Conclusion

The average hourly rates for each region in the days before the eruption is similar to the hourly rate in the 3 hours prior to the eruption. While the results certainly indicate a tendency for BSEs to be present at this similar rate in the days prior to an eruption, it is not conclusive evidence at this point. There has been no study of a non-eruptive region in the days before a flare--that, and a more thorough study of the other regions discussed in Colman and Canfield's report would be necessary before having reportable results.

So, after 8 weeks of study, the results are encouraging, but the 7-day average rate is not statistically significant from zero.

I also attempted to complete a side project.