MM#003 Major Flare Watch

Max Millennium Chief Observer mmchiefobserver at gmail.com
Fri Jul 6 10:04:56 MDT 2012


MM#003 Major Flare Watch

Dear RHESSI Collaborators,

Target region NOAA 1515 continues to maintain a complex
F-type/beta-gamma-delta sunspot group but has lost some
of its strongest delta configuration.  1515 was the source of
countless C-class events and a few low-level M-class events
during the past 24 hours.  At this time we are suspending
the MM#018 (Region Likely To Produce Great Flares) observing
plan and return to the Major Flare Watch plan.  An X-class event
=/>X5 is less likely in the next 24 hours.  1515 still has
the potential to produce an M-class event =/>M5.  The large
region near the southeast limb (S17E77) could also be a source
of an M-class event.

The position of NOAA 1515 on July 06 at 13:00 UT is:
S17W44 (Solar X = 628", Solar Y = -315")

See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and
http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml
for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.

Regards,

Bill Marquette (Helio Research)
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