:Product: 19960101RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 001 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 31/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  REGION 7935 (N11W06)
RE-EMERGED THIS PERIOD AS A 4-SPOT BXO BETA GROUP.  NEW REGION
7937 (S09E49) WAS NUMBERED AS AN AXX GROUP.  BOTH REGIONS WERE
VERY QUIET AND STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN AT VERY LOW LEVELS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 31/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.  ISOLATED UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WERE
OBSERVED AT HIGH LATITUDES FROM 01/1200-1500UT.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 JAN-04 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 JAN  075
PREDICTED   02 JAN-04 JAN  075/075/075
90 DAY MEAN        01 JAN  075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 31 DEC  007/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JAN  003/004
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JAN-04 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 JAN-04 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01