:Product: 19960107RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 007 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. BOTH REGIONS VISIBLE,
7938 (N12W68) AND 7939 (N02W34), WERE QUIET. DECAY WAS SEEN IN
BOTH SITES DURING THE INTERVAL.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST AT VERY LOW LEVELS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO MILDLY UNSETTLED EARLY ON, THEN
QUIET THE LAST TWO DAYS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 JAN-10 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 JAN  083
PREDICTED   08 JAN-10 JAN  082/080/080
90 DAY MEAN        07 JAN  076
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 06 JAN  008/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JAN  003/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JAN-10 JAN  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 JAN-10 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01


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