:Product: 19960109RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 009 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 09 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 08/2100Z
TO 09/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGIONS 7939 (N03W62)
AND 7940 (N10W35) ARE THE ONLY SPOT GROUPS NOW VISIBLE. BOTH
HAVE BEEN QUIET AND STABLE. SURGING WAS SEEN TO ACCOMPANY THE
WEST LIMB PASSAGE OF REGION 7938 (N13W96).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 08/2100Z TO 09/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST
24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 10 JAN-12 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           09 JAN  076
PREDICTED   10 JAN-12 JAN  076/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        09 JAN  076
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 08 JAN  003/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JAN  002/002
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JAN-12 JAN  005/005-005/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 10 JAN-12 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01


NNN