:Product: 19960111RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 011 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 11 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 10/2100Z
TO 11/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO SPOTTED
REGIONS ON THE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 10/2100Z TO 11/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL LATITUDES.
A STRATWARM ALERT WAS ISSUED ON 11 JANUARY, THURSDAY.
IIB. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT QUIET LEVELS.
III. EVENT PROBABILITIES 12 JAN-14 JAN
CLASS M   01/01/01
CLASS X   01/01/01
PROTON    01/01/01
PCAF      GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           11 JAN  071
PREDICTED   12 JAN-14 JAN  075/075/075
90 DAY MEAN        11 JAN  075
V.   GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED   AFR/AP 10 JAN  003/001
ESTIMATED  AFR/AP 11 JAN  003/003
PREDICTED  AFR/AP 12 JAN-14 JAN  005/005-005/005-010/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 12 JAN-14 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
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