:Product: 19960114RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 014 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 14 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 13/2100Z
TO 14/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE ARE NO SPOTTED
REGIONS ON THE DISK, NEITHER ARE THERE ANY REGIONS EXPECTED TO
RETURN BETWEEN 15-17 JANUARY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 13/2100Z TO 14/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAJOR TO SEVERE STORM CONDITIONS WERE
OBSERVED AT HIGH LATITUDES.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 15 JAN-17 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           14 JAN  070
PREDICTED   15 JAN-17 JAN  073/073/073
90 DAY MEAN        14 JAN  075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 13 JAN  028/035
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JAN  018/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JAN-17 JAN  015/015-010/010-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 15 JAN-17 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01


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