:Product: 19960122RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 022 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  REGION 7942
(N01W37), THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, APPEARS
TO BE IN DECLINE AND MAY SOON BECOME A SPOTLESS PLAGE.
A NINE DEGREE DSF WAS NOTED EARLY IN THE REPORTING PERIOD
AT N10E59 THRU N12E68.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN AT VERY LOW LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL
LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS, WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED ACTIVE INTERVALS DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 JAN-25 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 JAN  072
PREDICTED   23 JAN-25 JAN  072/072/073
90 DAY MEAN        22 JAN  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 21 JAN  009/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 JAN  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 JAN-25 JAN  010/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 JAN-25 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01


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