:Product: 19960123RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 023 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 23 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 22/2100Z
TO 23/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK IS
SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. WE ARE EXPECTING THE RETURN OF OLD REGIONS
7998 (N12 L187) AND 7939 (N03 L155). SO FAR ONLY A SMALL PLAGE
REGION HAS APPEARED.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 24 JAN-26 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           23 JAN  073
PREDICTED   24 JAN-26 JAN  074/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        23 JAN  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 22 JAN  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 JAN  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 JAN-26 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 24 JAN-26 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01


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