:Product: 19960124RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 024 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 24 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 23/2100Z
TO 24/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO EVENTS
DETECTED. NEW REGION 7943 (N12E63), THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION ON
THE VISIBLE DISK, WAS NUMBERED TODAY. MENTION WAS MADE OF REGION
7998 ON YESTERDAY'S FORECAST. THIS WAS AN ERROR. THE REGION
SHOULD HAVE READ 7938 (N12 L187).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 23/2100Z TO 24/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 25 JAN-27 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           24 JAN  073
PREDICTED   25 JAN-27 JAN  074/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        24 JAN  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 23 JAN  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 JAN  003/004
PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 JAN-27 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 25 JAN-27 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01


NNN