:Product: 19960126RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jan 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 026 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 26 JAN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 25/2100Z
TO 26/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO FLARE
ACTIVITY DETECTED. REGION 7943 (N13E36) REMAINS THE ONLY SPOTTED
GROUP ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MID LATITUDES SAW A BRIEF PERIOD OF
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS AROUND 26/0300Z. HIGH LATITUDES
HAD UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS FROM ABOUT 26/0300-0600Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 27 JAN-29 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           26 JAN  074
PREDICTED   27 JAN-29 JAN  074/074/076
90 DAY MEAN        26 JAN  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 25 JAN  006/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 JAN  008/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 JAN-29 JAN  005/007-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 27 JAN-29 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01