:Product: 19960202RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 033 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 02 FEB 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 01/2100Z
TO 02/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A B1 X-RAY EVENT AT
2012Z WAS THE ONLY EVENT REPORTED DURING THE INTERVAL.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. REGION 7944 (N09W85) WILL CROSS WEST LIMB IN THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 03 FEB-05 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           02 FEB  076
PREDICTED   03 FEB-05 FEB  074/073/072
90 DAY MEAN        02 FEB  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 01 FEB  007/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 FEB  009/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 FEB-05 FEB  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 03 FEB-05 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01