:Product: 19960205RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 036 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 FEB 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A VERY LOW LEVEL.
THE DISK WAS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET. UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED BETWEEN 05/0300-0600Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
SHOULD REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ISOLATED UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT
TIME.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 FEB-08 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 FEB  071
PREDICTED   06 FEB-08 FEB  070/069/069
90 DAY MEAN        05 FEB  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 04 FEB  007/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 FEB  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 FEB-08 FEB  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 FEB-08 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01