:Product: 19960209RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 040 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 09 FEB 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 08/2100Z
TO 09/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW, WITH NO ACTIVE
REGIONS CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 08/2100Z TO 09/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL
LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET, WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
UNSETTLED PERIODS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 10 FEB-12 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           09 FEB  070
PREDICTED   10 FEB-12 FEB  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        09 FEB  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 08 FEB  007/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 FEB  008/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 FEB-12 FEB  008/010-008/010-008/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 10 FEB-12 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01