:Product: 19960221RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 052 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 21 FEB 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 20/2100Z
TO 21/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGION 7947
(S14W40) AN AXX SPOTTED REGION WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 20/2100Z TO 21/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR DAY ONE AND DAY TWO OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE THIRD DAY.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 22 FEB-24 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           21 FEB  072
PREDICTED   22 FEB-24 FEB  074/075/075
90 DAY MEAN        21 FEB  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 20 FEB  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 FEB  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 FEB-24 FEB  005/005-005/005-010/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 22 FEB-24 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01