:Product: 19960222RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 053 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 FEB 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. AN INCREASE TO
UNSETTLED WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS
IS EXPECTED ON THE THIRD DAY DUE TO RECURRENCE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 FEB-25 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 FEB  072
PREDICTED   23 FEB-25 FEB  073/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        22 FEB  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 21 FEB  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 FEB  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 FEB-25 FEB  005/005-005/005-015/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 FEB-25 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/30
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/30
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01