:Product: 19960223RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 054 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 23 FEB 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 22/2100Z
TO 23/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM CON-
DITIONS. QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS DOMINATED MOST OF THE
DAY, BUT AN ENHANCED INTERVAL OF ACTIVITY OCCURRED FROM
0900-1800Z. DURING THIS INTERVAL MID-LATITUDE ACTIVITY
RANGED FROM UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS AND HIGH LATITUDE
SITES REPORTED ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 24 FEB-26 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           23 FEB  074
PREDICTED   24 FEB-26 FEB  074/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        23 FEB  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 22 FEB  009/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 FEB  014/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 FEB-26 FEB  010/008-010/010-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 24 FEB-26 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/10/10
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/10/10
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01