:Product: 19960226RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 057 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 26 FEB 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 25/2100Z
TO 26/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 7948
(N10W53) BEGAN A SLOW DECLINE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ENERGETIC
ELECTRON FLUXES WERE LOW TO MODERATE. SOLAR WIND SPEED
INCREASED TO ABOUT 550 KM/S AND DENSITIES WERE NEAR 3 P/CC.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
SHOULD BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES SHOULD BECOME HIGH ON 27-28 FEB.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 27 FEB-29 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           26 FEB  072
PREDICTED   27 FEB-29 FEB  072/072/071
90 DAY MEAN        26 FEB  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 25 FEB  014/014
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 FEB  011/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 FEB-29 FEB  010/010-010/010-008/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 27 FEB-29 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01