:Product: 19960227RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 058 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 27 FEB 96
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 26/2100Z TO
27/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE VERY
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 26/2100Z TO 27/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.  ENERGETIC ELECTRON
FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE BECAME HIGH NEAR 27/1430Z.
IIB. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.  ENERGETIC
ELECTRON FLUXES SHOULD BE HIGH FOR THE DURATION OF THE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 28 FEB-01 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           27 FEB 072
PREDICTED   28 FEB-01 MAR 072/071/070
90 DAY MEAN        27 FEB 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 26 FEB 012/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 FEB 008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 FEB-01 MAR 008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 28 FEB-01 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE              10/10/10
MINOR STORM         05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM  01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE              10/10/10
MINOR STORM         05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM  01/01/01