:Product: 19960228RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Feb 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 059 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 28 FEB 96
IA.   ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 27/2100Z TO
28/2100Z: SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  NEW REGION 7949 (S10E05)
EMERGED ON THE DISK AS AN A-TYPE SPOT.  THE REMINDER OF THE DISK AND
LIMBS WERE QUIET.
IB.   SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE VERY
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FROM 27/2100Z TO 28/2100Z:  THE
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE.  ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOPHYSICAL ALTITUDE FELL BELOW EVENT THRESHOLD NEAR 28/0000Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO PERSIST AT UNSETTLED LEVELS TOMORROW, BECOMING QUIET BY
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 29 FEB-02 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV. PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED          28 FEB 072
PREDICTED  29 FEB-02 MAR 070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN       28 FEB 073
V. GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP   27 FEB 011/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP  28 FEB 010/009
PREDICTED AFR/AP  29 FEB-02 MAR 010/009-005/005-005/005
VI. GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 29 FEB-02 MAR
A.    MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                    10/10/10
MINOR STROM               05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM        01/01/01
B. HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                    10/10/10
MINOR STORM               05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM        01/01/01