:Product: 19960304RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Mar 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 064 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 MAR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO ACTIVITY
OF NOTE. THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS WITH THREE PLAGE
REGIONS OBSERVED. ALL WERE QUIET AND STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE FIELD
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MOSTLY UNSETTLED AFTER THAT.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 MAR-07 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 MAR  069
PREDICTED   05 MAR-07 MAR  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        04 MAR  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 03 MAR  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 MAR  009/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 MAR-07 MAR  005/005-005/005-010/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 MAR-07 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01