:Product: 19960306RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Mar 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 066 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 MAR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  TWO NEW REGIONS WERE
NUMBERED TODAY, 7950 (AXX, N09W64) AND 7951 (BXO, S02E02).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LOW, WITH A 25 PROBABILITY OF A C-CLASS EVENT
ASSOCIATED WITH REGION 7951 DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE UNSETTLED INTERVAL
RECORDED AT HIGH LATITUDES.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
AND THEN MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 MAR-09 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 MAR  069
PREDICTED   07 MAR-09 MAR  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        06 MAR  072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 05 MAR  006/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAR-09 MAR  010/005-010/008-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 MAR-09 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/25/25
MINOR STORM           10/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05