:Product: 19960308RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Mar 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 068 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 MAR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY PERSISTS AT VERY LOW LEVELS.  THE
DISK IS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.  SOME HIGH
LATITUDE SITES HAD PERIODS OF MINOR STORM CONDITIONS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED.  NIGHTTIME SUBSTORMS
MAY OCCUR FOR SHORT TIME INTERVALS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 MAR-11 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 MAR  070
PREDICTED   09 MAR-11 MAR  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        08 MAR  073
V.  GEOMAGNEITC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 07 MAR  002/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 MAR  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 MAR-11 MAR  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNEITC ACTIVITY PROBABILTIES 09 MAR-11 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           15/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/25/25
MINOR STORM           15/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05