:Product: 19960318RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Mar 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 078 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 18 MAR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 17/2100Z
TO 18/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO FLARE
ACTIVITY OF NOTE. REGION 7952 (S05W61) HAS DECAYED INTO A
SOLITARY AXX SPOT AND REMAINS QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 17/2100Z TO 18/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GT 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX RANGED
FROM MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 19 MAR-21 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           18 MAR  071
PREDICTED   19 MAR-21 MAR  072/072/074
90 DAY MEAN        18 MAR  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 17 MAR  012/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 MAR  009/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 MAR-21 MAR  005/005-005/005-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 19 MAR-21 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01