:Product: 19960319RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Mar 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 079 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 19 MAR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 18/2100Z
TO 19/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  REGION 7952
(S04W74), THE LONE ACTIVE REGION ON THE DISK, REMAINS AS AN AXX
GROUP, WITH A SINGLE SPOT THAT IS FADING AS THE REGION ROTATES
CLOSER TO THE LIMB.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 18/2100Z TO 19/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH
A SINGLE ACTIVE INTERVAL, AT MIDDLE LATITUDES, AND QUIET TO
ACTIVE AT HIGH LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE
INTERVALS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 20 MAR-22 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           19 MAR  070
PREDICTED   20 MAR-22 MAR  072/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        19 MAR  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 18 MAR  009/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 MAR  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 MAR-22 MAR  010/008-010/008-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 20 MAR-22 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05