:Product: 19960327RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Mar 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 087 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 27 MAR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 26/2100Z
TO 27/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. THE TWO SMALL
SPOTTED REGIONS ON THE DISK EXHIBITED SLOW DECAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 26/2100Z TO 27/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
THE WIND SPACECRAFT IS IN THE MAGNETOSPHERE SO NO SOLAR WIND
DATA WERE AVAILABLE. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
SHOULD BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES SHOULD MODERATE ON 28-29 MAR.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 28 MAR-30 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           27 MAR  072
PREDICTED   28 MAR-30 MAR  072/071/070
90 DAY MEAN        27 MAR  072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 26 MAR  008/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 MAR  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 MAR-30 MAR  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 28 MAR-30 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01