:Product: 19960329RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Mar 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 089 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 29 MAR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 28/2100Z
TO 29/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  REGION 7953
(N08 W85), AN AXX SPOT GROUP, IS ABOUT TO ROTATE OFF THE DISK.
REGION 7954 (N01W65) MAY NOW BE SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 28/2100Z TO 29/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GEOSYNCHRONOUS ELECTRON FLUX WAS
MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.  ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES ARE EXPECTED
TO RETURN TO MOSTLY MODERATE LEVELS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 30 MAR-01 APR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           29 MAR  071
PREDICTED   30 MAR-01 APR  070/070/069
90 DAY MEAN        29 MAR  072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 28 MAR  009/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 MAR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 MAR-01 APR  005/005-008/008-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 30 MAR-01 APR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01