:Product: 19960403RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 094 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 03 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 02/2100Z
TO 03/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7955 (S00W70)
DISPLAYED OCCASIONAL PLAGE FLUCTUATIONS BUT WAS OTHERWISE VERY
STABLE. A NEW ACTIVE REGION IS ROTATING INTO VIEW AROUND EAST
LIMB AT N12. X-RAY BACKGROUND LEVELS HAVE INCREASED SOMEWHAT
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 04 APR-06 APR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           03 APR  071
PREDICTED   04 APR-06 APR  072/073/074
90 DAY MEAN        03 APR  072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 02 APR  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 APR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 APR-06 APR  005/005-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 04 APR-06 APR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05