:Product: 19960404RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 095 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A SINGLE B-CLASS (B1)
FLARE OCCURRED AT 04/2148Z. THERE WAS NO REPORTED OPTICAL
FLARE. REGION 7955 (N01W83) IS THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION ON THE
DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT MIDDLE
LATITUDES. ACTIVE TO STORM CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT SOME
HIGH LATITUDE LOCATIONS FROM 04/1200-1500Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 APR-07 APR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 APR  070
PREDICTED   05 APR-07 APR  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        04 APR  072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 03 APR  007/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 APR  010/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 APR-07 APR  010/010-010/010-010/015
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 APR-07 APR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           15/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/25/25
MINOR STORM           15/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05