:Product: 19960409RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 100 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 09 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 08/2100Z
TO 09/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS THE VISIBLE DISK
REMAINS VOID OF ACTIVE REGIONS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 08/2100Z TO 09/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS, EXCEPT FOR ISOLATED ACTIVE
CONDITIONS AT MIDDLE LATITUDES AND MINOR STORMING AT HIGH
LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL 09/0600-0900Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE
PERIODS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 10 APR-12 APR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           09 APR  069
PREDICTED   10 APR-12 APR  068/069/069
90 DAY MEAN        09 APR  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 08 APR  006/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 APR  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 APR-12 APR  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 10 APR-12 APR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05