:Product: 19960410RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 101 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 10 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 09/2100Z
TO 10/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS THE VISIBLE DISK
REMAINED SPOTLESS FOR THE SIXTH CONSECUTIVE DAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 09/2100Z TO 10/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT PRIMARILY QUIET TO
UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, EXCEPT FOR TWO
ISOLATED ACTIVE INTERVALS DURING THE PERIOD 10/0000-0300Z
AT MIDDLE LATITUDES AND 10/0900-1200Z AT HIGH LATITUDES.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF
ACTIVE CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 11 APR-13 APR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           10 APR  069
PREDICTED   11 APR-13 APR  069/069/070
90 DAY MEAN        10 APR  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 09 APR  011/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 APR  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 APR-13 APR  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 11 APR-13 APR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05