:Product: 19960411RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 102 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 11 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 10/2100Z
TO 11/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS THE VISIBLE DISK
CONTINUES TO BE QUIET AND FEATURELESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 10/2100Z TO 11/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS
AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH OCCASSIONAL ISOLATED
PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 12 APR-14 APR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           11 APR  068
PREDICTED   12 APR-14 APR  069/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        11 APR  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 10 APR  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 APR  008/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 APR-14 APR  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 12 APR-14 APR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           15/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05