:Product: 19960426RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 117 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 26 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 25/2100Z
TO 26/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
A MINOR X-RAY ENHANCEMENT (LESS THAN B-CLASS) WHICH STARTED AT
ABOUT 26/1330Z WAS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ACTIVE FILAMENT AND AN
ENHANCED CORONAL STRUCTURE NEAR S02W14.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN
2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 27 APR-29 APR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           26 APR  068
PREDICTED   27 APR-29 APR  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        26 APR  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 25 APR  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 APR  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 APR-29 APR  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 27 APR-29 APR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01