:Product: 19960428RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 119 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 28 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 27/2100Z
TO 28/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  NO FLARES OCCURRED.
NEW REGION 7960 (N04E37), A THREE SPOT BXO BETA GROUP, WAS
NUMBERED TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 27/2100Z TO 28/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS AT ALL LATITUDES, EXCEPT FOR AN
ISOLATED INTERVAL OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS AT MIDDLE LATITUDES
DURING THE PERIOD 27/2100-2400Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 29 APR-01 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           28 APR  067
PREDICTED   29 APR-01 MAY  069/069/069
90 DAY MEAN        28 APR  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 27 APR  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 APR  008/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 APR-01 MAY  005/005-008/005-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 29 APR-01 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05