:Product: 19960430RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Apr 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 121 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 30 APR 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 29/2100Z
TO 30/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED
AND THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 29/2100Z TO 30/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR THE
PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS,
REVERTING BACK TO QUIET ON DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 01 MAY-03 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           30 APR  068
PREDICTED   01 MAY-03 MAY  069/069/069
90 DAY MEAN        30 APR  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 29 APR  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 APR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 MAY-03 MAY  008/008-008/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 01 MAY-03 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/15/10
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05