:Product: 19960501RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 May 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 122 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 MAY 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 30/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED
AS THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 30/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THEN QUIET FOR THE REMAINING FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 MAY-04 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 MAY  067
PREDICTED   02 MAY-04 MAY  069/069/069
90 DAY MEAN        01 MAY  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 30 APR  006/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 MAY  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 MAY-04 MAY  008/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 MAY-04 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05