:Product: 19960502RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 May 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 123 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 02 MAY 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 01/2100Z
TO 02/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO FLARE
ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE VISIBLE DISK IS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. TWO MINOR REGIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BY DAY THREE
BUT NEITHER WAS A SIGNIFICANT FLARE PRODUCER.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 03 MAY-05 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           02 MAY  067
PREDICTED   03 MAY-05 MAY  067/067/067
90 DAY MEAN        02 MAY  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 01 MAY  007/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 MAY  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 MAY-05 MAY  005/007-005/007-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 03 MAY-05 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01