:Product: 19960504RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 May 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 125 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 MAY 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK
REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE FIRST DAY OF THE FORECAST
THEN MOSTLY UNSETTLED THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 MAY-07 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 MAY  069
PREDICTED   05 MAY-07 MAY  070/072/072
90 DAY MEAN        04 MAY  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 03 MAY  008/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 MAY  008/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 MAY-07 MAY  005/008-010/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 MAY-07 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01