:Product: 19960522RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 May 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 143 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 MAY 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED VERY LOW. A SMALL REGION
EMERGED NEAR S38E52 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 7965.
MAGNETIC DATA FROM 21 MAY IMPLY THIS IS ANOTHER REVERSE
POLARITY NEW CYCLE REGION. A SMALL FILAMENT NEAR N13E05 FADED
BETWEEN 22/1014-1222Z.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
SHOULD REMAIN QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 MAY-25 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 MAY  066
PREDICTED   23 MAY-25 MAY  066/066/066
90 DAY MEAN        22 MAY  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 21 MAY  012/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 MAY  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 MAY-25 MAY  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 MAY-25 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01