:Product: 19960523RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 May 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 144 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 23 MAY 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 22/2100Z
TO 23/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO FLARES
REPORTED. A SMALL FILAMENT DISAPPEARED IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVERNIGHT. NEW REGION 7966 (S11E60), A SMALL SPOT GROUP/PLAGE
REGION, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 24 MAY-26 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           23 MAY  067
PREDICTED   24 MAY-26 MAY  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        23 MAY  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 22 MAY  008/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 MAY  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 MAY-26 MAY  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 24 MAY-26 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01