:Product: 19960601RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 153 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 31/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A SMALL NEW
CYCLE SPOTTED REGION EMERGED NEAR N35E28 AND WAS NUMBERED AS
REGION 7967. RECENT X-RAY AND EUV IMAGES REVEAL A SMALL REGION
ABOUT TO ROTATE ONTO THE DISK NEAR S04. THIS IS THE RETURN OF
OLD REGION 7962 THAT WAS DECAYING LAST ROTATION PRIOR TO WEST
LIMB TRANSIT.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD
CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 31/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD AND QUIET THEREAFTER. SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE A
STABLE AND UNREMARKABLE STREAM IN THE EARTH'S VICINITY.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
IS FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT
THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 JUN-04 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 JUN  068
PREDICTED   02 JUN-04 JUN  069/069/069
90 DAY MEAN        01 JUN  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 31 MAY  008/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUN  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUN-04 JUN  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 JUN-04 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01