:Product: 19960606RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 158 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A B1 X-RAY FLARE
OCCURRED AT 04/2112Z BUT NO OPTICAL FLARE WAS REPORTED. REGION
7968 (N03W01) HAS GROWN. NEW REGION 7970 (S09W78) WAS NUMBERED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM. STORM
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT MANY STATIONS FROM 05/0900-1200Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 JUN-09 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 JUN  072
PREDICTED   07 JUN-09 JUN  072/072/072
90 DAY MEAN        06 JUN  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 05 JUN  007/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 JUN  020/017
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 JUN-09 JUN  010/008-010/005-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 JUN-09 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05