:Product: 19960611RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 163 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 11 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 10/2100Z
TO 11/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7968 (N03W70)
REMAINED QUIET AND HAS CONTINUED ITS SLOW DECAY AS IT MOVES
TOWARD THE WEST LIMB.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 10/2100Z TO 11/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 12 JUN-14 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           11 JUN  068
PREDICTED   12 JUN-14 JUN  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        11 JUN  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 10 JUN  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 JUN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 JUN-14 JUN  010/010-010/010-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 12 JUN-14 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/05
MINOR STORM           10/10/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01