:Product: 19960618RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 170 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 18 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 17/2100Z
TO 18/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE HIGHLIGHT OF AN
OTHERWISE DULL DAY WAS THE EMERGENCE OF WHAT MAY BE ANOTHER NEW
CYCLE SUNSPOT GROUP, 7972 (N28E24). THE LIMBS WERE QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 17/2100Z TO 18/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET LEVELS THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 19 JUN-21 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           18 JUN  068
PREDICTED   19 JUN-21 JUN  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        18 JUN  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 17 JUN  011/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 JUN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 JUN-21 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 19 JUN-21 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05