:Product: 19960620RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 172 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 20 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 19/2100Z
TO 20/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. THE ONLY FLARE
OBSERVED WAS A B1/SF AT 20/0343Z FROM REGION 7973 (N10E60). A
SMALL REGION MAY BE ROTATING ONTO THE DISK BEHIND REGION 7973.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE IS A
SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL C-CLASS FLARE FROM REGION 7973.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 19/2100Z TO 20/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
IS FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT
THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 21 JUN-23 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           20 JUN  070
PREDICTED   21 JUN-23 JUN  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        20 JUN  069
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 19 JUN  017/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 JUN  008/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 JUN-23 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 21 JUN-23 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01