:Product: 19960621RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 173 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 21 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 20/2100Z
TO 21/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED VERY LOW. A SMALL A CLASS
SPOT EMERGED NEAR N09E17 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 7974.
SEVERAL SMALL SPOTLESS PLAGES WERE OBSERVED EAST OF REGION
7973 (N11E46).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 20/2100Z TO 21/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 22 JUN-24 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           21 JUN  070
PREDICTED   22 JUN-24 JUN  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        21 JUN  069
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 20 JUN  008/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 JUN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 JUN-24 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 22 JUN-24 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01