:Product: 19960627RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 179 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 27 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 26/2100Z
TO 27/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  NO FLARES OCCURRED.
THE TWO ACTIVE REGIONS CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK, 7973
(N08W35) AND 7976 (N13E11) REMAIN STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 26/2100Z TO 27/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE INTERVAL OF UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS OBSERVED AT ALL LATITUDES DURING THE PERIOD
27/0900-1200Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET, WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED PERIODS
OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 28 JUN-30 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           27 JUN  071
PREDICTED   28 JUN-30 JUN  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        27 JUN  069
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 26 JUN  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 JUN  006/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 JUN-30 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 28 JUN-30 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01