:Product: 19960630RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jun 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 182 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 30 JUN 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 29/2100Z
TO 30/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  NO FLARES OCCURRED.
REGION 7973 (N06W76), A SINGLE SPOT 'HSX' GROUP, REMAINS STABLE
AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB.  REGION 7976 (N12W29) HAS
DECAYED INTO A SINGLE SPOT 'AXX' GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 29/2100Z TO 30/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE INTERVAL OF
ACTIVE CONDITIONS RECORDED AT BOULDER DURING THE PERIOD
30/0600-0900.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH
ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS LIKELY.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 01 JUL-03 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           30 JUN  071
PREDICTED   01 JUL-03 JUL  071/072/072
90 DAY MEAN        30 JUN  069
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 29 JUN  010/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JUN  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 JUL-03 JUL  008/010-008/010-008/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 01 JUL-03 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05