:Product: 19960701RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 183 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 30/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. TWO B-CLASS X-RAY
BURSTS WERE NOTED. THE FIRST WAS A B4 WITH AN ASSOCIATED TYPE
II SWEEP. THE LAST WAS A B1. REGION 7973 (N09W88) IS SLOWLY
DECAYING AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB. REGION 7976 (N12W42)
IS NOW SPOTLESS. A NEW PLAGE REGION, MODERATELY STRONG IN X-RAY
IMAGES, IS NOW ROUNDING THE EAST LIMB NEAR S02. IT IS SPOTLESS
SO FAR.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 30/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 JUL-04 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 JUL  070
PREDICTED   02 JUL-04 JUL  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        01 JUL  069
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 30 JUN  007/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUL  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUL-04 JUL  010/005-005/005-010/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 JUL-04 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01