:Product: 19960705RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 187 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. PREDOMINANTLY QUIET CONDITIONS WERE
INTERRUPTED BY A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS
FROM 05/0000-1200Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 JUL-08 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 JUL  069
PREDICTED   06 JUL-08 JUL  070/070/068
90 DAY MEAN        05 JUL  069
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 04 JUL  013/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JUL  012/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JUL-08 JUL  010/006-005/006-005/006
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 JUL-08 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01